000
FZNT02 KNHC 191535
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU SEP 19 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 16.8N 54.4W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 19 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 18.5N 59.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 20.7N 64.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 FT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 23.5N 68.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 26.5N 70.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 30.5N 67.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 31N62W TO 27N65W TO 21N75W. N OF 29N E OF 
TROUGH TO A LINE FROM 31N54W TO 29N58W SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 16 TO 22 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF 30N W OF TROUGH TO 80W NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE 
W OF A LINE FROM 31N54W TO 23N60W TO 19.5N65W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS EXCEPT 
12 TO 15 FT N OF A LINE FROM 31N56W TO 27N60W TO 25N68W TO 
27N75W TO 31N78W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N60W TO 27N65W. N OF 27N W OF 
70W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE W OF TROUGH WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW 
TO N SWELL. S OF 27N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL E OF THE BAHAMAS. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 
19N W OF 60W AND E OF THE BAHAMAS...AND E OF 60W TO A LINE FROM 
31N45W TO 20N45W TO 17N42W TO 15N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW TO N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N55W TO 27N60W TO 26N63W. FROM 
26N TO 28N W OF 65W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 08N W OF 50W TO A LINE FROM 08N55W TO 16N61W AND 
E OF THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY 
IN NW TO N SWELL. N OF 10N E OF 50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO N OF 29N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.