000
FZNT02 KNHC 120301
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 30.9N 33.9W 969 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 12
MOVING ENE OR 070 DEG AT 23 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 160 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT... 
420 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 31N44W TO
31N35W TO 18N35W TO 18N60W TO 24N60W TO 31N44W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE WELL NE OF AREA NEAR 33.3N 
23.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
170 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY
31N45W TO 31N35W TO 21N35W TO 21N47W TO 26N42W TO 31N45W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WELL NE NEAR 33.5N 
15.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM S SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
130 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 
31N45W TO 31N35W TO 07N35W TO 18N50W TO 24N47W TO 28N49W TO
31N45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 31.5N 15.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LESLIE NEAR 29.0N 
18.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LESLIE NEAR 28.0N 
24.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 14.9N 35.5W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
12 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 12N TO 18N E OF 48W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 15.6N 38.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 21N E OF 49W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE NEAR 15.8N 41.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 75 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 13N TO 23N E OF 50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED. CONDITIONS MERGE.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WELL N OF AREA NEAR 37.1N 76.1W
MOVING NE AT 22 KT. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N73.5W TO 30.5N74W
TO 30N76.5W TO 31N78.5W TO 31N73.5W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.