000
FZNT02 KNHC 101602
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 10 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 29.4N 86.0W 928 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 10 
MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT 
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE 
QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 
240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 44 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 24N E OF 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 24N WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN N TO NE SWELL. FREQUENT SQUALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS N OF 28N E 
OF 88W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 33.6N 
82.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...60 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. N OF 28N E OF 86W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL OVER ATLC 
WATERS NEAR 38.7N 71.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 
KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...240 
NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. 
OVER GULF WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 45.5N 
52.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 49.0N 
29.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
50.0N 13.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 27.8N 42.3W 980 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 10 
MOVING SSE OR 150 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT... 
270 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 540 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM 
NW AND 270 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 17N E OF 63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.4N 39.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 360 SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH NADINE... 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 16N E OF 59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 30.7N 31.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 140 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 1200 NM N 
AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. EXCEPT AS NOTED 
WITH NADINE...ELSEWHERE N OF 12N E OF 52W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 31.5N 23.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 29.5N 22.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 27.0N 26.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 12.6N 31.6W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
10 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 14.6N 32.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 30 
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM FROM 11N TO 
20N E OF 37W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 16.5N 35.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM NE 
AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 20N E OF 42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE NEAR 17.5N 39.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 26N W OF 79W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT ALONG 
31N. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N OUTSIDE OF BAHAMAS BETWEEN 71W AND 
80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH MICHAEL...N OF 29N W OF 
75W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH MICHAEL...N OF 30N BETWEEN 
73W AND 76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.