000
FZNT02 KNHC 100952
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED OCT 10 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 28.3N 86.5W 943 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 10 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT 
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N E OF 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 23N E OF 95W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 32.1N 83.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS INLAND WITHIN 90 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...70 NM NW 
QUADRANT AND 140 NM SE QUADRANT. N OF 27N E OF 87W SW TO W WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL N OF AREA OVER WATER 
NEAR 36.8N 75.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...40 
NM NW QUADRANT AND 140 NM SE QUADRANT. OVER ATLC FORECAST WATERS 
N OF 30N BETWEEN 74W AND 80W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 43.5N 
59.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 49.5N 
36.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
52.0N 17.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.6N 42.6W 981 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 10 
MOVING S OR 175 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE...90 NM SE... 
120 NM SW AND 240 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
270 NM NE...210 NM SE...240 NM SW AND 450 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NW 
AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 23N E OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.1N 40.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 360 SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 270 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 18N E OF 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 30.5N 34.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE...160 NM SE QUADRANT AND 140 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E AND 330 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N E OF 40W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...EXCEPT 
AS NOTED BELOW WITH NADINE...N OF 11N E OF 51W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 31.5N 25.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 30.5N 21.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 28.5N 23.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 12.1N 31.1W 999 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
10 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE...30 NM 
SE...0 NM SW AND 20 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 15 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 13.9N 32.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE...50 NM SE...30 NM SWAND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 30 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM FROM 12.5N TO 17N 
E OF 37W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 16.0N 34.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM N QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 14N TO 20N E OF 41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE NEAR 17.3N 38.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 28N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 
TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DESCRIBED IN MICHAEL PARARGRAPH 
ABOVE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.