000
FZNT02 KNHC 092157
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 26.0N 86.4W 957 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 09 
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE...180 NM SE... 210 NM SW...AND 
270 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 21N TO 
30N BETWEEN 82W AND 89.5W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 22N TO 30N BETWEEN 82W AND 93W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 29.7N 85.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 82W 
AND 89.5W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
N OF 24.5N E OF 96.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 31.8N 
84.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 28N E OF 88W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 26N E OF 88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 33.9N 
81.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM W SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
140 NM SE QUADRANT. N OF 28.5N BETWEEN 83W AND 85W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 39.0N 
70.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 45.5N 
51.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
50.0N 30.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 30.3N 43.0W 983 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
09 MOVING SSE OR 155 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE...180 NM SE...480 NM SW...AND 540 
NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 26N BETWEEN 39W AND 51W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 11 
TO 19 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 24N BETWEEN 35W AND 59W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.0N 42.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE...210 NM SE... 
420 NM SW...AND 450 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 23.5N BETWEEN 37W AND 51W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 20N 
BETWEEN 35W AND 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 29.2N 38.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 160 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E AND 330 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 35W AND 44W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA...EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW WITH 
NADINE...N OF 15N E OF 57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 32.0N 29.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 33.0N 22.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 31.0N 20.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 10.9N 30.6W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
09 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 12.6N 32.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...60 NM 
NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 15.0N 34.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NE...30 NM 
SE...0 NM SW...AND 45 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 45 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 13N TO 20N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION NADINE NEAR 17.0N 37.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 30N77W TO 26N79W. N OF 27N BETWEEN 69W AND 81W 
E TO SE WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 22N TO 27N 
BETWEEN 67W AND 73W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH NW OF AREA. N OF 28N W OF 74W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL 
INLAND NEAR 33.9N 81.0W N OF 29N W OF 75W S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.