000
FZNT02 KNHC 091621
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 25.0N 86.2W 965 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 09 
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE 
QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE... 
270 NM NE QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 29N BETWEEN 82W AND 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 30N BETWEEN 81W 
AND 91W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 28.8N 86.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 30N BETWEEN 82W AND 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 24N E OF 96.5W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 33.0N 
82.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...60 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. N OF 28N BETWEEN E OF 
88W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25.5N E 
OF 87W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 37.5N 
74.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 44.0N 
56.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
50.0N 38.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 31.3N 43.5W 983 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
09 MOVING SSE OR 150 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE 
QUADRANT...450 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 540 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 39W 
AND 51W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N 
OF 24N BETWEEN 37W AND 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 28.5N 42.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 190 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 390 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 24N BETWEEN 38W AND 53W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 35W AND 60W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.9N 39.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 140 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 24N TO 32N BETWEEN 35W AND 46W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW WITH NADINE...N 
OF 14N E OF 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 32.0N 31.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.5N 22.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 33.5N 18.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 30N75W TO 25N77W. N OF 26N BETWEEN 68W AND 81W 
E TO SE WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 22N TO 26N 
BETWEEN 66W AND 73W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN 59W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH NW OF AREA. N OF 26.5N W OF 72W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL 
INLAND NEAR 33.0N 82.5W. N OF 28.5N W OF 77W S WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 11.9N 32.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SW QUADRANT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NADINE NEAR 14.3N 34.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 17N E OF 38W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.