000
FZNT02 KNHC 090950
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE OCT 9 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 24.1N 85.8W 973 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 09 
MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 170 NM NE 
QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 140 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO 29N 
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 30N BETWEEN 81W AND 91W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 27.9N 86.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 
82W AND 90W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA N OF 23N E OF 96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 32.3N 
83.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...50 NM NW QUADRANT 
AND 140 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26.5N BETWEEN 83W AND 87W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 36.5N 
75.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 42.5N 
60.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
49.0N 40.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 32.2N 43.9W 983 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
09 MOVING SSE OR 155 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE 
QUADRANT...420 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 540 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 39W 
AND 51W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N 
OF 24N BETWEEN 37W AND 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 29.2N 42.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 220 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 390 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 24N BETWEEN 38W AND 53W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 35W AND 60W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.4N 40.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 140 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND WITHIN 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 24N TO 32N BETWEEN 35W AND 48W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA NE OF A LINE FROM 12N38W TO 27N56W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 31.2N 33.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.5N 23.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 34.0N 17.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 29N73W TO 23N74W. N OF 25N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W 
E TO SE WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA. N OF 28N BETWEEN 73W AND 81W 
SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFT N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 32.3N 
83.4W. N OF 29N W OF 79W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN E OF AREA NEAR 
12N33W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 17N E OF 39W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN E OF AREA NEAR 
13.6N34.0W 1006 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 13N TO 16N E OF 
36W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE CONDITIONS 
MERGE WITH LESLIE.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.