000
FZNT02 KNHC 090415
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE OCT 9 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 9.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 23.2N 85.3W 970 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 09 
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT 
GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 30N 
BETWEEN 82W AND 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 30N BETWEEN 81W AND 90W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 26.8N 86.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 23N TO 30N BETWEEN 82W AND 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N E OF 94W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 31.4N 
84.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
140 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS N 
OF 27N BETWEEN 83W AND 87W WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
27N BETWEEN 83W AND 87W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 26N E OF 90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 35.9N 
77.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 41.5N 
63.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
47.8N 46.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 32.9N 44.6W 983 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 
09 MOVING SE OR 135 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE 
QUADRANT...360 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 480 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 41W 
AND 51W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 38W AND 58W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 29.6N 42.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N 
BETWEEN 36W AND 61W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 35W AND 60W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 27.9N 41.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 120 NM SE AND NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA E OF A LINE FROM 
12N38W TO 28N59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 30.0N 35.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.5N 24.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL LESLIE NEAR 35.5N 16.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 28N72W TO 21N74W. FROM 25N TO 29N BETWEEN 69W 
AND 76W E TO SE WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA. N OF 27N W OF 72W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFT N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...E
OF AREA NEAR 12.5N33.5W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO
17N E OF 40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.