000
FZNT02 KNHC 082041
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 8 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT  9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 22.2N 85.2W 978 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 08
MOVING N OR 355 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT... 
150 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 29N88W TO 29N84W TO 
22N81W TO 18N83W TO 20N88W TO 29N88W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 88W AND 90W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 25.7N 86.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N90W TO 30N85W TO 
26N82W TO 23N85W TO 23N89W TO 30N90W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 82W AND 93W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 30.2N 85.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 30N90W TO 30N82W TO 26N82.5W TO 26N87W TO 29N90W TO 
30N90W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
BOUNDED BY 30N89W TO 30N82.5W TO 25N82.5W TO 26N97W TO 28N96W TO 
30N89W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 34.5N 
80.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 39.8N
68.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
46.2N 50.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 33.8N 45.8W 986 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
08 MOVING SE OR 130 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...420 NM NW 
QUADRANT AND 240 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 42W AND 51W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED 
BY 31N58W TO 31N37W TO 26N42W TO 26N52W TO 31N58W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 30.6N 43.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 240 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SW QUADRANT
AND 510 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 300 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 
31N60W AND 31N35W TO 28N35W TO 22N40W TO 22N46W TO 27N60W TO 
31N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.2N 41.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...AND 120 NM SE AND NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...330
NM SE QUADRANT AND 390 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM
SW QUADRANT AND 360 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 31N58W TO 31N35W TO 17N35W TO
17N44W TO 26N63W TO 31N58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 29.5N 37.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.5N 26.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 37.0N 17.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 27N72W TO 21N75W. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 30N79W
TO 27N66W TO 22N69W TO 25N77W TO 30N79W E TO SE WIND 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA. N OF 26N W OF 70W E TO SE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS SHIFT N OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...E
OF AREA NEAR 12.5N33.5W 1007 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO
17N E OF 40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.