000
FZNT02 KNHC 081442
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 8 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 8.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT  9.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 21.2N 84.9W 982 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 08
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE... 
120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 135 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY
30N87W TO 30N82W TO 27N78W TO 15N83W TO 24N91W TO 30N87W WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 24.4N 85.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21.5N BETWEEN 82W AND 89W
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 20N E
OF 92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 28.6N 86.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 135 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT
...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 89W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 24N BETWEEN 82W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 33.0N 
82.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 37.8N 
73.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
42.8N 59.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE N OF AREA NEAR 34.6N 47.0W 989 MB AT 1500
UTC OCT 08 MOVING ESE OR 120 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM
NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 360 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N52W TO
31N45W TO 30N48W TO 30N50W TO 31N52W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 11 TO 13 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 31N58W TO 31N40W TO 27N47W TO 27N53W TO 31N58W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 32.0N 43.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 360 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N55W TO 
31N38W TO 30N38W TO 27N41W TO 27N45W TO 31N55W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 31N60W TO 31N35W 
TO 24N42W TO 24N46W TO 28N57W TO 31N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 29.1N 41.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...160 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
130 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SW QUADRANT AND 450 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N49W TO 31N36W TO 
25N36W TO 25N43W TO 31N49W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY 31N59W TO 31N35W TO 24N35W TO 20N40W
TO 20N47W TO 27N65W TO 31N59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 29.5N 37.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 33.0N 28.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 39.0N 18.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 25N70W TO 22N71W TO 20N72W. WITHIN AREA 
BOUNDED BY 26N73W TO 26N67W TO 22N66W TO 25N73W TO 26N73W E TO SE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 
31N81W TO 31N72W TO 25N66W TO 26N74W TO 27N80W TO 31N81W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N81W TO 31N74W TO 
28N74W TO 28N81W TO 31N81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.