000
FZNT02 KNHC 081003
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON OCT 08 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 10.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 20.6N 85.5W 983 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
08 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 135 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NW QUADRANT 
AND 210 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 21.7N 85.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 
NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT AND 270 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 23.5N 86.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM N SEMICIRCLE...140 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 19N 
BETWEEN 82W AND 90W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 27.2N 86.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
180 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 23N TO 29N BETWEEN 89W AND 96W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 31.2N 
84.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 35.5N 
77.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
40.5N 64.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WELL N OF AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS N OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 43W AND 
57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE N OF AREA NEAR 32.9N 
44.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...180 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 200 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
25N BETWEEN 37W AND 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 29.6N 41.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...160 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
130 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N E OF 61W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.8N 38.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 31.2N 30.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 36.8N 20.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST SURFACE TROUGH FROM 27N72W TO 22N73W. 
FROM 25N TO 28N BETWEEN 69W AND 73W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
8 FT IN E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST SURFACE TROUGH FROM 27N78W TO 22N78W. FROM 26N 
TO 31N BETWEEN 72W AND 81W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 32N BETWEEN 68W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 72W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN E SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER NR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.