000
FZNT02 KNHC 072059
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 09.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 19.2N 85.5W 999 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 
07 MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT. FROM 22N TO 
25N BETWEEN 82W AND 90W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL NEAR 21.5N 85.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM 
N QUADRANT AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 
12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 25.0N 86.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 22N TO 
30N E OF 90W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 23N TO 29N 
BETWEEN 90W AND 92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E 
SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MICHAEL NEAR 29.2N 85.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL INLAND NEAR 33.7N 
80.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MICHAEL NEAR 
39.0N 68.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WELL N OF AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS N OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 31N45W TO 
29N53W TO 31N58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N 
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE N OF AREA NEAR 34.3N 
45.7W. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS N OF AREA. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 42W AND 51W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 31N38W TO 26N45W TO 28N54W 
TO 31N59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 31.2N 41.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A 
LINE FROM 30N35W TO 27N42W TO 30N52W WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 27N E OF 52W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM 26N35W TO 21N44W TO 29N60W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N SWELL.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 28.2N 38.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 28.6N 33.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 30.5N 27.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.18 HOUR FORECAST SURFACE TROUGH FROM 27N70W TO 20N73W. FROM 20N 
TO 26N BETWEEN 66W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST SURFACE TROUGH FROM 27N71W TO 21N74W. FROM 22N 
TO 29N BETWEEN 67W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
E SWELL. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST SURFACE TROUGH FROM 26N73W TO 22N73W. FROM 25N 
TO 29N BETWEEN 71W AND 75W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 67W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 74W AND 79W E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N W OF 69W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.