296 
FZNT02 KNHC 031519
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED OCT 03 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 29.5N 56.8W 975 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 03 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE 
QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 200 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 540 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM SE AND 360 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 FT. SEAS 11 TO 20 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS OUTSIDE 
BAHAMAS N OF 21N BETWEEN 48W AND 76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 16 FT IN MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 27N60W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE N OF AREA NEAR 31.6N 56.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 170 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE 
QUADRANT...330 NM SE QUADRANT...510 NM SW QUADRANT...450 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 330 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS OUTSIDE BAHAMAS W OF 
LINE FROM 31N47W TO 25N47W TO 18N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 16 FT IN MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 29N61W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE N OF AREA NEAR 35.6N 57.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS N OF FORECAST WATERS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM 
NE QUADRANT...450 NM SE QUADRANT...420 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N 
BETWEEN 43W AND 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 31N53W.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESLIE NEAR 36.9N 56.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 37.0N 54.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LESLIE NEAR 36.7N 49.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC FROM 27N TO 30N BETWEEN 38W AND 42W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.