048 
FZNT02 KNHC 012214 CCA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED FLORENCE EXTENDED OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 01 2018

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 03.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 15.6N 29.0W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC 
SEP 01 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 20 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM S SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 35W 
AND 37W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 16.8N 33.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 30 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO 
22N BETWEEN 35W AND 38W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 25N BETWEEN 35W AND 41W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 18.0N 39.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
210 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE 
FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 35W AND 42W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER AREA FROM 13N TO 27N BETWEEN 
35W AND 47W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 19.5N 43.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 21.5N 48.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE NEAR 23.5N 52.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 74W 
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 12.5N BETWEEN 71W AND 76W NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 76W AND 77W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 13N BETWEEN 73W AND 75W NE WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 76W AND 78W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2045 UTC SAT SEP 1...

ATLC FROM 20N TO 26N BETWEEN 67W AND 78W SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITH ISOLATED TSTMS.

CARIBBEAN N OF 17N BETWEEN 74W AND 80W AND S OF 13.5N BETWEEN 
77W AND 83W SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED TSTMS.

$$
.FORECASTER RAMOS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.