000
FZNT02 KNHC 102202
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON OCT 10 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 10.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 11.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 12.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 26.3N 65.4W 992 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
10 MOVING N OR 355 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...90
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 58W
AND 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 27.5N 66.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO
23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 56W AND 68W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 29.5N 66.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N
BETWEEN 62W AND 70W WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM 31N56W TO 21N67W
TO 22N70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 33.2N 64.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 38.1N 58.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL NICOLE NEAR 42.0N
54.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N67W TO 22N74W. N OF 26.5N W OF FRONT N
TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN NW TO N SWELL N AND
E OF BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE N OF 23N W OF 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN N SWELL N AND E OF BAHAMAS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N63W TO 29N67W TO
23N73W. W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN
N SWELL N AND E OF BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 68W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL E OF BAHAMAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 28N BETWEEN 70W AND 80W
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF
70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN N TO NE SWELL N AND
E OF BAHAMAS.

.ATLC 06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N E OF 42W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N BETWEEN 41W AND 45W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. 

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 84W NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.