000
FZNT02 KNHC 092218
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN OCT 09 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO. 

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 09.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 10.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 11.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM NICOLE NEAR 24.2N 65.3W 989 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT
09 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 0 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE
QUADRANT...160 NM SE QUADRANT...70 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...150
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 410 NM NE AND 150 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 25.9N 65.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM W SEMICIRCLE...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 24N BETWEEN 60W AND 67W
WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 58W AND 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 27.2N 65.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 25N
BETWEEN 61W AND 67W WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180
NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM 25N60W TO 21N67W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 28.4N 66.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 31.3N 65.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NICOLE NEAR 35.4N 59.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE MATTHEW N OF AREA WITH TRAILING COLD
FRONT FROM 31N71W TO 25N74W. N OF LINE FROM 31N72W TO 28.5N75W
TO 28.5N80W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN NW TO
N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF LINE FROM 31N67W TO 28N71W TO 27N80W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N67W TO 21N74W. W OF A LINE
FROM 31N68W TO 27N72W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN NW
TO N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL N AND E OF BAHAMAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N62W TO 22N75W. N OF
27N W OF FRONT TO 76W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15
FT IN NW TO N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 21N W OF 67W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL N AND E OF BAHAMAS.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 30N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N E OF 41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. 

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 21N W OF 95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N W OF 95W N TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 85W NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.


.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.