000
FZNT02 KNHC 231557
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI SEP 23 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KARL NEAR 28.6N 64.8W 992 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 23
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N AND 0 NM
S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE...100 NM
SE...60 NM SW AND 120 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN
58W AND 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL N OF AREA NEAR 32.3N 62.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE...210 NM
SE... 180 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 28N BETWEEN
57W AND 68W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KARL NEAR 38.9N 49.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...210 NM SW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
480 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. N OF LINE FROM 29N54W TO
31N50W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N
BETWEEN 54W AND 59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL KARL NEAR 50.7N
29.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED BY A LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM LISA NEAR 22.2N 36.3W 1008 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 23
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 19N E
OF 44W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA NEAR 24.2N 39.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM NE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 23N TO 29N E OF 44W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 27.4N
42.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 90 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF
27N BETWEEN 38W AND 43W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW LISA NEAR 31.5N
40.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.