000
FZNT02 KNHC 050235
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
0430 UTC MON OCT 05 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 07.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN N OF AREA NEAR 33.1N 65.5W 961 MB AT 0300 UTC 
OCT 05 MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM NE QUADRANT...420 NM SE QUADRANT...300 NM SW QUADRANT... 
AND 540 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 26N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 
23N W OF 55W TO A LINE FROM 23N66W TO 28N77W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN WELL N OF AREA NEAR 36.2N 
63.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
180 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N 
BETWEEN 59W AND 67W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM 27N35W TO 25N50W TO 27N65W TO 
27N77W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 39.5N 54.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM S SEMICIRCLE...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT. N OF 27N BETWEEN 40W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL... HIGHEST N OF 30N BETWEEN 54W 
AND 61W.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 42.5N 
38.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW JOAQUIN NEAR 42.5N 38.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST EXTRATROPICAL LOW JOAQUIN NEAR 42.5N 38.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 27N52W 1010 MB DRIFTING SE. WITHIN 150 NM NE 
AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N48W 1012 MB. CONDITIONS MERGE.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE FROM 18N40W TO 10N41W. E OF WAVE AXIS SE TO 
S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 18N45W TO 10N46W. E OF WAVE 
AXIS TO 42W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 18N49W TO 10N50W. E OF WAVE 
AXIS TO 46W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 19N52W TO 12N53W. E OF WAVE 
AXIS TO 48W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 31N77W WITH COLD FRONT SW TO 
29N81W. N OF 30N W OF FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES N OF AREA. COLD FRONT FROM 31N76W TO 
28N80W. W OF FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. N OF 
27N E OF FRONT TO 67W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 73W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 68W AND 75W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 74W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.