000
FZNT02 KNHC 042146
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
2230 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE JOAQUIN N OF AREA NEAR 32.2N 66.4W 958 MB AT 2100 UTC 
OCT 04 MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...600 NM NW 
QUADRANT AND 420 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN 61W AND 72W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N 
W OF 57W TO A LINE FROM 22N70W TO 27N77W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN WELL N OF AREA NEAR 35.6N 
64.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...100 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 61W AND 70W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM 29N35W TO 
25N50W TO 26N65W TO 27N77W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 39.2N 56.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. N OF A LINE FROM 22N35W TO 
22N45W TO 27N55W TO 31N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 42.5N 
42.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 46.1N 
27.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 
49.7N 18.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 27.0N 52.5W 1008 MB DRIFTING SE. WITHIN 150 
NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 50W AND 57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NE TO E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28.5N50W 1012 MB. CONDITIONS 
MERGE.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE FROM 20N37W TO 10N39W. E OF WAVE AXIS SE TO 
S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 19N42W TO 10N44W. E OF WAVE 
AXIS TO 40W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 19N50W TO 10N51W. N OF 15N 
WITHIN 180 NM E OF WAVE AXIS SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 31N77W WITH COLD FRONT SW TO 
28N81W. N OF 30N W OF LOW AND FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES N OF AREA. COLD FRONT FROM 31N77W TO 
27N80W. N OF 29N W OF FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. N OF 25N E OF FRONT TO 67W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 73W 
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 68W AND 75W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 74W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.