000
FZNT02 KNHC 041459
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
1630 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 31.0N 66.8W 957 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 04 
MOVING N NE OR 030 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...160 NM NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...600 NM NW AND 420 NM 
SE QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 420 NM SE AND 270 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF LINE FROM 31N81W 
TO 20N765W TO 31N50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. SCATTERED TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE 
FROM 31N67W TO 28N62W TO 24N68W.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 34.8N 64.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE...180 NM SE...100 NM SW AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER SHIFT N OF FORECAST AREA. 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 62W AND 70W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF LINE FROM 30N80W 
TO 25N75W TO 24N55W TO 31N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 38.4N 58.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE...180 NM SE...140 NM SW AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANTS. N OF LINE FROM 31N65W TO 23N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 42.3N 45.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 46.4N 
29.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 
51.4N 19.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 31N79W WITH COLD FRONT SW TO 
27N80W. N OF 30N W OF LOW AND FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES N OF AREA TRAIL COLD FRONT FROM 
31N76W TO 26N80W. N OF 30N W OF 80W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
10 FT. N OF 25N E OF FRONT TO 67W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 10 FT.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 07N45W TO 20N41W.  
WITHIN 180 NM E OF WAVE AXIS SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 11N49W TO 21N49W. N OF 15N WITHIN
180 NM E OF WAVE AXIS SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 14N BETWEEN 67W AND 73W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 74W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.