000
FZNT02 KNHC 041016
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
1030 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 29.7N 67.7W 952 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 04 
MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 320 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...620 NM NW QUADRANT AND 360 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22.5N BETWEEN 61W AND 72W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 20.5N BETWEEN 
59W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 33.7N 65.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 27N 
BETWEEN 59W AND 72W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22.5N BETWEEN 52W AND 78W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST NE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 37.6N 61.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. EXCEPT AS NOTED BELOW...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL...HIGHEST W OF 58W. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 41.8N 49.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 45.0N 
33.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 
50.0N 21.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES 27N53W 1008 MB DRIFTING SE. N OF 28N BETWEEN 50W 
AND 55.5W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FROM 25N TO 26.5N 
BETWEEN 53W AND 55.5W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE 
N OF 25N BETWEEN 49W AND 59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE TO E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28N51.5W 1011 MB. N OF 26N 
BETWEEN 49W AND 52W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 28.5N49W 1015 MB. CONDITIONS 
MERGE.

.ATLC 12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 17N37W TO 09N38W. E OF 
WAVE AXIS SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N39W TO 09N40W. E OF WAVE AXIS SE TO S 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 18N43W TO 10N45W. E OF WAVE 
AXIS SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 36 HOUR FORECAST S OF 14N BETWEEN 67W AND 73W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 15.5N BETWEEN 67W AND 75W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.