000
FZNT02 KNHC 032139
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
2230 UTC SAT OCT 03 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON OCT 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 27.0N 70.5W 934 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 03 
MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT 
GUSTS 160 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE... 
420 NM NE QUADRANT AND 540 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
330 NM SW QUADRANT...INCLUDING ATLC APPROACH TO WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA  
N OF 21N W OF 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 31.5N 67.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
N OF 23N BETWEEN 61W AND 72W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 
TO 21 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 55W 
AND 80W AND E OF BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN WELL N OF AREA NEAR 36.0N 
64.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 60W AND 70W SW 
TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE 
FROM 29N35W TO 25N54W TO 25N65W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 40.0N 56.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 45.0N 
40.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL JOAQUIN NEAR 
50.0N 25.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC LOW PRES 27.5N53.5W 1007 MB DRIFTING N. WITHIN 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N54W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 30N50W 1012 MB. CONDITIONS MERGE.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 15N37W TO 09N38W. E OF 
WAVE AXIS SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL WAVE FROM 16N43W TO 10N45W. E OF WAVE 
AXIS SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 18N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W INCLUDING THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.