000
FZNT02 KNHC 022134
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
2230 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN OCT 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 24.1N 74.7W 942 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 02 
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM NE QUADRANT... 
180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 390 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 80W AND 
OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 26.9N 72.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 180 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 480 NM NE QUADRANT...300 
NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 65W AND 
OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 31.7N 68.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...170 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
300 NM SW QUADRANT OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
25N BETWEEN 62W AND 73W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N W OF 62W AND OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 36.5N 67.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 40.5N 60.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 45.0N 46.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 26.5N52.5W 1002 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 
180 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.  
ELSEWHERE N OF 24N BETWEEN 50W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N53.5W 1002 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. WITHIN 150 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 52W AND 65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27.5N53.5W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 120 NM SE 
AND S QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 25N BETWEEN 53W AND 62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 18N BETWEEN 73W AND 78W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W...INCLUDING THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.