000
FZNT02 KNHC 021533
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
1630 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.5N 74.8W 939 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 02
MOVING N OR 00 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS
140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 390 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 80W AND 
OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 26.1N 73.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 160 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER 480 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 50 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 62W AND OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 30.6N 69.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...170 NM SW QUADRANT AND 190 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 360 NM SE QUADRANT AND 540 NM SW 
QUADRANT OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N W OF 
65W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.  SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.  REMAINDER OF AREA N 
OF 22N W OF 62W AND OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 35.5N 67.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 39.5N 63.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 43.5N 49.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 27N53W 1003 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.  REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 52W AND 65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
28N54W 1002 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. 
SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE FROM 
CENTER IN FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.  SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
28N55W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 
53W AND 62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 19N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.