000
FZNT02 KNHC 020851
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
1030 UTC FRI OCT 02 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.3N 74.7W 935 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 02 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 160 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 400 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. N OF 28N BETWEEN 70W AND 75W E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 65W 
AND 78W AND OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 25.4N 74.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER...EXCEPT 200 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 
45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM NE AND 220 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 21N 
BETWEEN 65W AND 78W AND OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 30.0N 70.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...170 NM SW QUADRANT AND 190 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 200 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 43 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM W AND 210 NM E 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 80W AND OUTSIDE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 34.8N 69.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 39.0N 66.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 43.5N 54.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 26N54W 1003 MB. WITHIN 60 NM N QUADRANT 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 54W AND 65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N54W 1003 MB. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 52W AND 60W 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. WITHIN 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 25N 
BETWEEN 51W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
28.5N56W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N 
BETWEEN 50W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN N OF 19N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD 
PASSAGE...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N BETWEEN 73W AND 76W...INCLUDING THE 
WINDWARD PASSAGE...SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
THE WINDWARD PASSAGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.