000
FZNT02 KNHC 012136
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
2230 UTC THU OCT 01 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.0N 74.4W 936 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 01 
MOVING SW OR 235 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...80 NM NW QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 65W AND 78W AND OUTSIDE OF 
THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 24.4N 74.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 
180 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT E OF 
BAHAMAS. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21N BETWEEN 65W AND 80W AND 
OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 28.4N 73.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...190 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM NE 
AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N W OF 65W AND OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 33.0N 72.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 37.0N 72.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 41.0N 69.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 26N55W 1005 MB. N OF 26N BETWEEN 50W AND 65W 
NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N54W 1005 MB. WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 25 TO 35 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND S QUADRANTS OF LOW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N BETWEEN 50W 
AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N55W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
OF LOW WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 
S QUADRANTS OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF 24N BETWEEN 50W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
28N56W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N 
BETWEEN 50W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
29N58W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND S 
QUADRANTS OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
27N BETWEEN 50W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.