000
FZNT02 KNHC 010901
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       
1030 UTC THU OCT 01 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.4N 73.7W 948 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 01 
MOVING WSW OR 240 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT 
GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE AND SW 
QUADRANTS...80 NM NW QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...220 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT E OF BAHAMAS. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 21.5N 
BETWEEN 67W AND 78W AND OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.4N 74.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM W SEMICIRCLE...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 60 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM NE AND 
180 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT E OF 
BAHAMAS.  REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 67W AND 80W AND 
OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 26.8N 74.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...190 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 140 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM NW AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM NE 
AND 300 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N W OF 65W AND OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 32.5N 74.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 36.0N 74.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 39.0N 74.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 25N52W TO LOW PRES NEAR 26N57W 1008 MB TO 
27N63W. N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 51W AND 62W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 50W AND 67W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 27N48W TO LOW PRES...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 26N56W 1007 MB TO 24N62W. N OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 50W AND 60W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  S OF 
TROUGH BETWEEN 52W AND 57W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 50W AND 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
28N57W 1004 MB. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT OF 
LOW SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N 
BETWEEN 52W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.