000
FZNT02 KNHC 010255
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       
0430 UTC THU OCT 1 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.8N 73.1W 951 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 01 
MOVING SW OR 220 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE...160 NM SE...120 NM SW AND 180 
NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NE 
AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT E 
OF BAHAMAS. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 67W AND 78W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.6N 74.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE AND 120 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM NE AND 
180 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT E OF 
BAHAMAS.  REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 67W AND 79W NE OF 
THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 26.6N 74.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 390 NM N AND 210 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM N AND 
300 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N W OF 65W NE OF BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 31.6N 74.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 36.2N 75.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 38.5N 76.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 25N50W TO LOW PRES NEAR 26N57W 1008 MB TO 
27N64W. N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 50W AND 64W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 25N50W TO 29N68W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 26N50W TO LOW PRES NEAR 26N57W 
1007 MB TO 26N64W. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF 
LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 51W AND 62W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 26N BETWEEN 62W AND 67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N57W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT OF LOW SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 51W AND 65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.