000
FZNT02 KNHC 302205
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       
2230 UTC WED SEP 30 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 30.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 24.3N 73.1W 967 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 30 
MOVING SW OR 225 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 160 NM NE...100 NM SE...90 NM SW AND 130 NM 
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 23N BETWEEN 66W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 23.9N 74.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 
120 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.  
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 68W AND 79W NE OF THE BAHAMAS 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 25.8N 75.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT NE OF BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 68W AND 79W NE OF 
BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 30.5N 74.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 36.0N 75.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 38.5N 76.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 24N45W TO LOW PRES NEAR 25N57W 1009 MB TO 
27N64W. N OF FRONT BETWEEN 50W AND 63W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 13 FT. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 25N45W TO 29N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 25N45W TO LOW PRES NEAR 26N58W 
1007 MB TO 27N65W. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF 
LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 52W AND 63W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 61W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N57W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT OF LOW SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 52W AND 65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.