000
FZNT02 KNHC 301606
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       
1630 UTC WED SEP 30 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 30.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 24.7N 72.6W 971 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 30 
MOVING SW OR 230 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 110 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 160 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT... 
...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 24N BETWEEN 
66W AND 79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 24.1N 74.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 
120 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.  
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 68W AND 79W AND OUTSIDE THE 
BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 25.3N 74.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT NE OF BAHAMAS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 68W AND 80W OUTSIDE 
THE BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 28.5N 73.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 34.0N 73.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 38.5N 74.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 23N44W TO 24N48W. TROUGH 
FROM 24N48W TO LOW PRES NEAR 25N57W 1009 MB TO 26N62W. N OF 
FRONT W OF 46W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. 
WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE N 
OF TROUGH E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 23N35W TO 22N45W TO 25N55W TO 26N65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 
24N45W TO LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 26N58W 
1007 MB THEN TROUGH TO 29N65W. WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S  
SEMICIRCLES OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE 
N OF FRONT AND TROUGH BETWEEN 52W AND 61W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 61W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
27N56W 1004 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT OF LOW S TO SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 52W AND 
65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.