000
FZNT02 KNHC 300904
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       
1030 UTC WED SEP 30 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO.

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN NEAR 25.4N 72.5W 988 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
30 MOVING WSW OR 245 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 
NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA N OF 24N BETWEEN 66W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 24.7N 73.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 
120 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT.  
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 23N BETWEEN 68W AND 77W AND OUTSIDE THE 
BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 25.2N 74.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 
120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 22N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W OUTSIDE THE 
BAHAMAS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 28.3N 73.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 33.0N 73.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOAQUIN NEAR 37.0N 73.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 23N45W TO 28N60W. N OF 
FRONT W OF 45W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. N OF 
29N BETWEEN 60W AND 65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 23N35W TO 22N45W TO  
25N55W TO 26N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS TO 9 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 
24N45W TO 25N50W THEN TROUGH TO 25N60W TO 29N65W. N OF TROUGH 
BETWEEN 52W AND 65W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF FRONT AND TROUGH BETWEEN 50W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1004 MB NEAR 26N55W. WITHIN 240 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 
27N BETWEEN 52W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE 
SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.