000
FZNT02 KNHC 272130
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 29.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 16.6N 64.0W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
27 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 
NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N QUADRANT...150 NM E QUADRANT...AND 75 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA WITHIN 360 NM NE QUADRANT AND 420 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 19.2N 69.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM 
NE QUADRANT...45 NM SE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 360 NM N QUADRANT AND 
240 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 22.1N 74.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 
NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 300 NM N QUADRANT...240 NM E 
QUADRANT AND 75 NM S QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 24.9N 78.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERIKA NEAR 27.0N 80.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERIKA NEAR 29.5N 80.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.CARIBBEAN 30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 68.5W AND 
73W E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 71W AND 75W E WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.