000
FZNT02 KNHC 270326
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU AUG 27 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 29.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 16.7N 60.2W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 
27 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
45 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 
NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA WITHIN 360 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND OVER ATLC WATERS WITHIN 210 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 18.6N 65.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 N 
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 300 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 21.2N 70.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 
NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER 
AREA WITHIN 270 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 23.5N 75.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERIKA NEAR 26.0N 78.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ERIKA NEAR 28.5N 79.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 73W AND   
76W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.