000
FZNT02 KNHC 192045
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC WED AUG 19 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 11.5N 42.0W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE... 30 NM 
SE...0 NM SW AND 40 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM NE...90 NM SE...30 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA S OF 17N BETWEEN 35W 
AND 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 12.6N 44.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE AND 20 NM SW 
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 
330 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 13.8N 47.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 15.0N 51.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 16.0N 56.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 16.8N 62.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC 06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 73W E TO SE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 30N66W 1013 MB. WITHIN 
180 NM SE QUADRANT SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
8 FT. 

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 17.5N BETWEEN 72W AND 79W NE TO E WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 77W NE TO E
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 16N
BETWEEN 69W AND 79W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT
IN NE AND E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 16.5N
BETWEEN 74W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED
NE TO E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 69W AND 79W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 
16.5N BETWEEN 75W AND 82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN
MIXED NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 68W AND 78W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10.5N TO 15N
BETWEEN 75W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E 
SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF HONDURAS...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.GULF OF MEXICO O6 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 88W 
AND 91W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 19N92W TO 23N92W. N OF 21N
WITHIN 150 NM OF TROUGH E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 20N TO 22N BETWEEN 88W AND 91W NE TO 
E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 19N92W TO 23N92W. N OF 21N
WITHIN 150 NM E OF TROUGH E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS
THAN 8 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.