000
FZNT02 KNHC 191619
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC WED AUG 19 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 11.2N 41.1W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
19 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE...30 NM 
SE...0 NM SW AND 40 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 100 NM NE...50 NM SE...20 NM SW AND 40 NM NW QUADRANTS 
WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA S OF 16N BETWEEN 35W AND 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 11.9N 44.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM NW...50 NM SE...60 NM NE AND 20 NM SW QUADRANTS. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE...80 NM SE...40 NM SW AND 
80 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA S 
OF 18N BETWEEN 38W AND 48W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 13.1N 47.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 270 NM N AND 210 NM S 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 14.4N 51.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 15.6N 56.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 16.6N 61.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 71W AND 80W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.CARIBBEAN 18 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N BETWEEN 85W AND 88W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF HONDURAS...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.