000
FZNT02 KNHC 190904
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC WED AUG 19 2015

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 11.3N 40.2W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 
19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 15 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA S 
OF 17N BETWEEN 35W AND 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANNY NEAR 12.2N 43.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
REMAINDER AREA S OF 18N BETWEEN 37W AND 47W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 13.2N 46.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 270 NM N AND 210 NM S 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.    
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 14.5N 50.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 15.5N 54.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANNY NEAR 16.5N 59.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. 

.ATLC 18 HOUR FORECAST S OF 21N BETWEEN 71W AND 73W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 72W AND 78W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 73W AND 77W NE TO E 
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 70W AND 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 70W AND 78W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 78W 
AND 82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.

.CARIBBEAN 24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N BETWEEN 85W AND 
88...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N BETWEEN 85W AND 88...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF HONDURAS...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 
FT. 
 
.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.