000
FZNT02 KNHC 170249
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 28.0N 67.5W 943 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 17 
MOVING NNE OR 025 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT 
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 140 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA E OF THE BAHAMAS AND E OF 
78W TO A LINE FROM 31N58W TO 20N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 32.5N 64.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...160 NM NE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA E OF BAHAMAS N OF 23N 
BETWEEN 55W AND 77W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL E OF 68W AND NW SWELL W OF 68W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 42.0N 57.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 240 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE 
QUADRANT...450 NM SE QUADRANT...270 NM SW QUADRANT AND 210 NM NW 
QUADRANT OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 29N BETWEEN 55W AND 63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 52.0N 
39.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 56.5N 
12.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.LOW PRES NEAR 18N46W 1010 MB MOVING N-NW 5-10 KT. BETWEEN 90 NM 
AND 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN N 
SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH AREA 
DESCRIBED NEXT.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N35W TO 26N47W TO 24N52W. FROM 26N 
TO 29N BETWEEN 47W AND 54W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 
12 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE E OF 58W N OF A LINE FROM 24N58W TO 
13N47W TO 13N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL...EXCEPT TO 13 FT IN N OF 30N E OF 40W. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST E OF 56W N OF A LINE FROM 22N56W TO 10N47W TO 
10N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E OF 55W N OF A LINE FROM 22N55W TO 08N48W TO 
08N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL...EXCEPT TO 13 FT IN N OF 30N E OF 40W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF A LINE FROM 31N55W TO 25N55W TO 07N47W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.