000
FZNT02 KNHC 162151
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC THU OCT 16 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 27.1N 68.2W 942 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 16 
MOVING N-NE OR 015 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT 
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 41 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 390 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA N OF 23N BETWEEN 60W AND 65W 
AND N OF 20N E OF BAHAMAS BETWEEN 65W AND 77W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 31.1N 65.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 160 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 
270 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 43 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA E OF BAHAMAS N OF 22N 
BETWEEN 56W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL E OF 68W AND NW SWELL W OF 68W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 39.0N 60.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...130 NM NW QUADRANT AND 200 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER 
WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N 
BETWEEN 56W AND 66W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO 
NE SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 50.5N 
46.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 55.0N 
21.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.LOW PRES NEAR 18N46W 1009 MB MOVING N-NW 5-10 KT. FROM 17N TO 
22N BETWEEN 39N AND 45W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 
FT IN N SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 18N47W 1010 MB. FROM 18N TO 22N 
BETWEEN 40W AND 45W SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT 
IN N SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH AREA 
DESCRIBED NEXT.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 26N35W TO 26N45W TO LOW PRES NEAR 
24N49W 1012 MB TO 21N55W. FROM 26N TO 29N BETWEEN 47W AND 54W NE 
TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE E 
OF 60W N OF A LINE FROM 24N60W TO 14N45W TO 14N35W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST E OF 56W N OF A LINE FROM 22N56W TO 10N47W TO 
10N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF A LINE FROM 31N56W TO 06N51W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.