000
FZNT02 KNHC 160840
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC THU OCT 16 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 25.3N 68.7W 945 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 16 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT 
GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT.SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM 
NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY A 
LINE FROM 31N72W TO 25N77W TO 18N67W TO 26N63W TO 31N63W TO 
31N72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 29.2N 67.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 140 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT....240 
NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH  
SEAS TO 47 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE 
QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N 
OF A LINE FROM 26N60W TO 20N71W TO 27N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 35.3N 63.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 190 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 130 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM E SEMICIRCLE...AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 44 
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 59W AND 65W 
S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N 
OF A LINE FROM 31N77W TO 27N74W TO 31N68W TO 27N60W TO 31N56W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 45.5N 53.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.                  
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 52.0N 
33.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 
55.0N 10.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 16N46W 1009 MB MOVING NW AT 5 KT. BETWEEN 
120 NM AND 300 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST BROAD LOW PRES NEAR 19N47W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH ATLC AREA BELOW.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 25N45W THEN STATIONARY TO  
23N50W TO 24N58W THEN WARM TO 27N63W. N OF 25N E OF 46W WINDS   
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT IN MIXED N AND SE SWELL. EXCEPT 
AS NOTED WITH ATLC LOW PRES ABOVE...ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 
23N35W TO 16N40W TO 17N46W TO 27N63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS  
8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED N TO NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 27N47W TO 
24N52W. N OF A LINE FROM 14N35W TO 12N50W TO 26N60W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED N TO NE AND SE SWELL...HIGHEST 
NEAR 21N41W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED. E OF A LINE FROM 
31N56W TO 13N56W TO 07N48W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED N TO NE AND SE SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 25.5N81W TO 22N90W 
THEN STATIONARY TO 18.5N93W. S OF 20N E OF 95W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 24N91W TO 21N90W THEN 
DISSIPATING STATIONARY TO 18.5N93W. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.