000
FZNT02 KNHC 152151
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC WED OCT 15 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI OCT 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 24.1N 68.6W 953 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 15 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
240 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...135 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA E OF BAHAMAS AND W OF 63W 
TO A LINE FROM 31N72W TO 25N76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 27.2N 68.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 37 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE 
QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER AREA E OF 
BAHAMAS N OF 21N BETWEEN 60W AND 79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 32.9N 65.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 170 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 270 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 210 NM 
SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 
270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. REMAINDER AREA N OF 26N BETWEEN 57W AND 
75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 41.8N 58.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 51.0N 
42.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 
54.0N 20.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 17N45W 1009 MB MOVING NW AT 3 KT. BETWEEN 90 
NM AND 240 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 18N46W 1009 MB. BETWEEN 180 NM 
AND 330 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN N 
SWELL. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH AREA 
DESCRIBED NEXT.

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 28N35W TO 24N49W. E OF 63W N OF LINE FROM 
24N63W TO 21N45W TO 25N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN N TO NE SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 18 FT IN NW TO N SWELL N OF 26N 
E OF 45W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. ELSEWHERE N OF 14N E OF 
LINE FROM 31N60W TO 24N60W TO 14N46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 09N E OF LINE FROM 31N27W TO 22N57W TO 
09N49W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN N TO NE 
SWELL. 

.GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT FROM 26N82W TO 23N88W THEN IS 
STATIONARY TO 18N92W. S OF 20N W OF 94W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 26N81W TO 18N93W. WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.