000
FZNT02 KNHC 150928
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC WED OCT 15 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 17.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 22.9N 67.3W 954 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 15 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
135 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM 
NE AND 180 NM SE QUADRANTS...AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 19N TO 28N BETWEEN 
62W AND 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX 
OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 25.5N 68.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 180 NM SE 
QUADRANTS AND 135 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N72W TO 31N62W 
TO 27N62W TO 19N69W TO 26N77W TO 31N72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 29.9N 67.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 140 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
44 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE...240 NM 
SE...210 NM SW AND 150 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N80W TO 
31N60W TO 27N60W TO 20N70W TO 28N80W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 37.5N 62.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.                       
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 48.5N 
52.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 
54.0N 30.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.COLD FRONT FROM 31N37W TO 28N40W TO 26N57W. N OF 29N E OF FRONT 
SW WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 27N E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. N OF 30N W OF FRONT TO 39W NW TO N 
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF 
FRONT TO 50W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT IN 
MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF A LINE FROM 27N35W 
TO 24N50W TO 26N60W TO 31N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN PRIMARILY N TO NE SWELL.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N35W TO 26N45W TO 25N55W.   
N OF 27N E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT IN 
MIXED SW AND NW TO N SWELL. W OF FRONT TO 50W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT...EXCEPT NW TO N 20 TO 30 KT E OF 40W. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT 
IN N TO NE SWELL...EXCEPT 14 TO 18 FT E OF 40W. ELSEWHERE N OF A 
LINE FROM 27N35W TO 23N50W TO 29N65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 27N35W TO 26N44W TO 
23N53W. N OF A LINE FROM 22N35W TO 17N40W TO 17N46W TO 27N62W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT IN MIXED SE AND N TO NE 
SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 31N35W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF A LINE FROM 
12N35W TO 12N50W TO 27N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SE AND N TO NE SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 22N42W.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N83W TO 25N86W TO 18N93W. S OF 19.5N BETWEEN 
94.5W AND 96W NW TO N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 22N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 28N83W TO 25N85W TO 18N92W.   
S OF 21N BETWEEN 92W AND 96W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT SE OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 16N43W 1009 MB MOVING NW AT 5 KT. WITHIN 240 
NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS 
WITHIN 180 NM E AND SE QUADRANTS.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 17N46W 1009 MB. CONDITIONS MERGE 
WITH ATLC GALE WARNING SECTION.

.CARIBBEAN S OF 18N W OF 86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.