000
FZNT02 KNHC 150320
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
0430 UTC WED OCT 15 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 17.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 22.2N 66.6W 954 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 15 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT 
GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 38 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 18N TO 30N BETWEEN 61W AND 72W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 24.9N 68.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
150 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM 
NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA S OF 22N BETWEEN 
65W AND 72W AND OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF BAHAMAS W OF 60W TO A 
LINE FROM 31N72W TO 24N75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 28.5N 67.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...110 NM SW QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE 
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATER SE OF THE BAHAMAS TO A 
LINE FROM 31N58W TO 18N69W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 34.7N 64.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 45.1N 
56.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 
52.5N 42.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...ATLC GALE WARNING...
.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N36W TO 29N39W TO 25N55W. N OF 30N E OF 
41W SW TO W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN NW 
SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 17 FT W OF 37W. N OF 28N E OF 43W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT NW TO N WINDS W OF FRONT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 17 FT N OF 29N W OF 38W. 
REMAINDER AREA N OF 25N BETWEEN 50W AND 65W AND N OF 25N WITHIN 
150 NM E OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY 
IN N TO NE SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 15 FT N OF 28N BETWEEN 43W AND 
53W.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N36W TO 28N40W TO 24N54W. E 
OF FRONT N OF 28N SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SW AND NW SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 15 FT N OF 29N. N OF 29N W OF 
FRONT TO 41W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT IN NW 
SWELL. REMAINDER AREA N OF 24N BETWEEN 54W AND 64W AND WITHIN 
150 NM E OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY 
IN N TO NW SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 16 FT N OF 28N E OF 46W. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 28N35W TO 24N48W. 
E OF 63W N OF A LINE FROM 27N63W TO 21N45W TO 25N35W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 16 FT 
IN NW TO N SWELL N OF 28N E OF 42W. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. E OF LINE FROM 31N60W 
TO 24N60W TO 17N45W TO 17N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN N TO NE SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 15 FT N OF 27N E OF 41W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF LINE FROM 31N58W TO 22N58W TO 14N45W TO 
14N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N84W TO 23N90W TO 18N94W. S OF 20N W OF 95W 
NW TO N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 24N 
WITHIN 210 NM W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N84W TO 25N87W TO 18N93W. S 
OF 21N W OF 95W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 23N WITHIN 150 NM W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 27N82W TO 21N88W. S 
OF 20N BETWEEN 92W AND 95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N 
SWELL
.30 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT SE OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 16N43W 1009 MB MOVING N AT 5 KT. WITHIN 210 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. SCATTERED 
TSTMS WITHIN 180 NM SE QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 17N46W 1009 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED WITH THE ATLC GALE WARNING.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.