000
FZNT02 KNHC 142214
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
2230 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 16.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 21.2N 66.0W 970 MB AT 2100 UTC OCT 14 
MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA WITHIN 180 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN E 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 24.0N 68.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...100 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS E OF 
BAHAMAS W OF 63W TO A LINE FROM 31N69W TO 24N75W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 27.2N 68.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 110 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER 210 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 270 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE 
QUADRANT 210 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS E 
OF BAHAMAS AND 80W TO A LINE FROM 31N60W TO 18N66W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 32.0N 65.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 39.9N 60.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL GONZALO NEAR 
49.0N 50.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N85W TO 22N93W TO 18N95W. S OF 21N W OF FRONT 
NW TO N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. FROM 21N TO 24N W OF 
FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N84W TO 25N87W TO 18N93W. S 
OF 21N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S 
OF 23N WITHIN 150 NM W OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT WEAKENING FROM 27N82W TO 21N88W. S 
OF 20N W OF 93W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT SE OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 16N42.5W 1009 MB MOVING N AT 5 KT. WITHIN 
210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. SCATTERED 
TSTMS WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 17N45W 1009 MB. BETWEEN 120 NM 
AND 300 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 19N46W 1009 MB. BETWEEN 210 NM 
AND 330 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N 
SWELL. 

.ATLC COLD FRONT FROM 31N39W TO 29N42W TO 26N55W. N OF 28N 
WITHIN 120 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT  
PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. N OF 29N W OF FRONT TO 52W NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 16 FT N 
OF 29.5W BETWEEN 41W AND 50W. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N W OF FRONT TO 
63W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT FROM 28N35W TO 24N48W. 
E OF 63W N OF A LINE FROM 27N63W TO 21N45W TO 25N35W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL...EXCEPT 12 TO 16 FT 
IN NW TO N SWELL N OF 28N E OF 42W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT DISSIPATED. ELSEWHERE N OF 16N E OF 
57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE 
SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 29N35W.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.