000
FZNT02 KNHC 140925
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED OCT 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 16.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 19.6N 64.4W 974 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 14 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20  TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 22.7N 67.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 25.4N 68.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM NE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 300 NM 
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N62W TO 18N67W TO 25.5N77W TO 
31N73W TO 31N62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN A BROAD 
MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 28.9N 67.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.                      
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 34.5N 64.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 43.5N 56.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.COLD FRONT FROM 30N90W TO 26N92W TO 22.5N98W. W OF FRONT NW TO 
N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. N OF 27N WITHIN 150 NM AHEAD 
OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. SCATTERED 
TSTMS N OF 27N WITHIN 240 NM E OF FRONT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N85W TO 26N87W TO 18N94W. S 
OF 21N W OF 95W NW TO N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 24N W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N84W TO 25N87W TO 18N93W. S 
OF 22N W OF FRONT TO 96.5W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT WEAKENING FROM 29N83W TO 25N85W TO 
18N93W. S OF 20N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 26N82W TO 21N88W. WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC TROUGH FROM 31N47W TO 29N50W TO 27N65W. N OF 29N WITHIN 
240 NM E OF TROUGH SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN 
MIXED NE AND NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 31N47W. W OF TROUGH TO   
50W W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 15 FT IN MIXED NE AND 
NW SWELL...HIGHEST NEAR 31N47W. N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 50W AND 65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 31N38W TO 28N43W TO 25N55W. N OF 
29N WITHIN 180 NM E OF TROUGH SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 TO 
16 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. W OF TROUGH TO 43W NW TO N WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE N OF A LINE FROM 28N35W TO 24N51W TO 29N65W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SE AND N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH FROM 27N35W TO 26N40W TO 23N50W. N OF A 
LINE FROM 19N35W TO 19N50W TO 24N60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 14 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW TO N SWELL...HIGHEST NE HALF.

.ATLC LOW PRES NEAR 15.5N44W 1011 MB MOVING NW AT 4 KT. WITHIN 
240 NM E QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. NUMEROUS 
TSTMS WITHIN 360 NM E QUADRANT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 17N45W 1011 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.