000
FZNT02 KNHC 131624
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 13 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 15.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC AND CARIBBEAN HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM GONZALO NEAR 17.2N 61.9W 992 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 
13 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 19.4N 65.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 22.4N 67.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 27N BETWEEN 63W AND 73W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 24.8N 68.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.                      
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 27.4N 66.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 31.7N 64.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAY NEAR 34.1N 52.2W 990 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 13 
MOVING E OR 090 DEG AT 25 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 170 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT... 
360 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 400 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. 
OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 31N49W TO 29N55W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF A 
LINE FROM 31N55W TO 29N60W TO 31N64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL FAY NEAR 32.9N 
44.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 
NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 
30N BETWEEN 47W AND 52W. ELSEWHERE N OF 29N BETWEEN 41W AND 49W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 31N40W TO 28N43W TO 28N48W TO 
27N53W TO 28N66W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE AND 
SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL FAY 
NEAR 31.8N 37.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 0 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 29N E OF 41W. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF A LINE FROM 27N35W TO 22N47W TO 22N54W TO 29N65W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SE AND N SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL FAY NEAR 32.0N 
29.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...GULF OF MEXICO GALE WARNING...
.GULF OF MEXICO COLD FRONT W OF AREA. N OF 25.5N W OF 93W S 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N93W TO 25N98W. N OF 27N 
WITHIN 120 NM E OF FRONT SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. W 
OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N88W TO 26N90W TO 22N94W TO 
19N95W. N OF 28N E OF FRONT TO 84W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N86W TO 24N90W TO 18N94W. S 
OF 21N W OF 95W NW TO N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 23N W OF 92W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N84W TO 24N89W TO 18N93W. S 
OF 22N W OF FRONT TO 96W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 28N83W TO 22N91W TO 18N93W. S 
OF 20N BETWEEN 93W AND 96W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15N35W TO 19N45W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.