000
FZNT02 KNHC 121944 AAA
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN OCT 12 2014

UPDATE FOR T.S. GONZALO

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM GONZALO  NEAR 16.4N 58.4W 1009 MB AT 1730 UTC 
OCT 12 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 
KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM GONZALO NEAR 16.5N 61.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.   
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...AND 120 NM SE AND SW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 18.2N 65.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER  WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 19 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE 
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 20.5N 67.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 22.0N 68.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE GONZALO NEAR 24.0N 68.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAY N OF AREA NEAR 34.0N 62.8W 986 MB AT 1500 
UTC OCT 12 MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 21 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM SE AND 210 NM SW QUADRANTS    
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN AN 
AREA BOUNDED BY A LINE FROM 31N57W TO 28N58W TO 26N70W TO  
28N72W TO 31N72W TO 31N57W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
IN A BROAD MIX OF SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL FAY NEAR 36.0N 
52.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS N OF AREA WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE 
QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER N OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 
51W AND 54W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 58W AND 63W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL FAY NEAR 34.0N 
42.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF 
AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 28N BETWEEN 48W AND 65W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SE AND N SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...ABSORBED BY A FRONT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.                                       

.ATLC FROM 15N TO 20N E OF 43W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 21N E 
OF 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 17N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT W OF AREA. WITHIN 90 
NM OF TEXAS COAST S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N92W TO 26N97W. W OF FRONT 
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N87W TO 24N92W TO 21N97W. 
FROM FRONT TO 27N W OF 92W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER HUFFMAN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.