000
FZNT02 KNHC 021018
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                          
1030 UTC WED JUL 02 2014

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 02.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 04.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR NEAR 28.4N 79.1W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 
02 MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS 
WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ARTHUR NEAR 30.5N 79.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28W BETWEEN 77W 
AND 80W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS 
WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ARTHUR JUST N OF AREA NEAR 32.1N 
78.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 E SEMICIRCLE...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM AND 120 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N BETWEEN 
77W AND 80W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ARTHUR N OF AREA NEAR 34.2N 76.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER LIFT N 
OF 31N. ELSEWHERE N OF 29N BETWEEN 74W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SE...SW AND NW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ARTHUR NEAR 40.0N 69.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ARTHUR NEAR 46.0N 
62.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL ARTHUR NEAR 50.0N 
55.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.
 
.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 68W AND 63W NE TO E WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 
63W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W NE TO E 
WINDS 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 70W AND 81W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 80W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 
9 FT IN E SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 70W AND 79W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 10 TO 12 FT FROM 11N 
TO 14N BETWEEN 75W AND 78W. FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 78W AND 82W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST 11N TO 13N BETWEEN 74W AND 76W NE WINDS 25 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 68W 
AND 80W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. FROM 11N TO 
16N BETWEEN 80W AND 82W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN E 
SWELL. 

.CARIBBEAN 42 HOUR FORECAST S OF 17N BETWEEN 86W AND 
88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF HONDURAS...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.