000
FZNT02 KNHC 181526
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST                                             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL                        
1630 UTC MON NOV 18 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON NOV 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE NOV 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED NOV 20.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 29.3N 53.6W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC 
NOV 18 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 200 NM NE 
QUADRANT...0 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 400 NM OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 330 NM 
NW QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 79W AND N OF 22N E OF 
55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 31.3N 54.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 200 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 400 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 
18 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS ELSEWHERE N OF 19N BETWEEN 60W AND 
72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. N OF 20N E 
OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SE AND NE 
SWELLS
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MELISSA NEAR 36.6N 48.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...100 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
170 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
ELSEWHERE N OF 28N BETWEEN 55W AND 40W WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
12 TO 15 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS ELSEWHERE N OF 25N E OF 62W. 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MELISSA NEAR 42.8N 
39.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MELISSA NEAR 50.0N 
35.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL MELISSA NEAR 
55.0N 39.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N73W TO 28N80W. N OF 
30N W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.ATLC 48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 31N62W TO 26N80W. NW OF 
FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 TO 11 FT IN NE SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO 24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 29N82W TO 
26N97W. N OF FRONT NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 26N82W TO 25N97W. WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$

EFFECTIVE 3 DECEMBER 2013 AT 1800 UTC...THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
AREA IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE 
SMALL TRIANGULAR AREA FROM 07N48W TO THE EAST COAST BOUNDARY OF 
SURINAME. THE DESCRIPTION OF THE AREA WITHIN THE FORECAST TEXT 
WILL NOT CHANGE.

.FORECASTER DGS. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.