000
FZNT02 KNHC 211615
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC MON OCT 21 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 21.                            
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 22.                      
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 23.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN NEAR 28.0N 55.1W 1010 MB AT 1500 
UTC OCT 21 MOVING NE OR 040 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 120 NM NE QUADRANTS 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN NEAR 29.6N 52.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN  
AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM NE QUADRANT S OF 31N...AND 
45 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN NEAR 30.4N 48.9W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SW QUADRANT AND 0 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND  
30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE 
QUADRANT...AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN NEAR 31.4N 46.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED 
OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 45W AND 50W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 52W AND 58W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 47W AND 53W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL. 

.ATLC 24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N55W 1012 MB...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 29N56W 1013 MB...POSSIBLE 
TROPICAL CYCLONE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF MEXICO 30 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N85W TO 
23N96W TO 19N96W. S OF 26N W OF FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 28N83W TO 22N94W TO 18N94W. S 
OF W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT S OF 22N NW TO 
N 25 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT...EXCEPT S OF 22N 9 TO 11 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.