000
FZNT02 KNHC 051004
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT OCT 5 2013

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND 
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 07.
 
.WARNINGS.

...GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.1N 91.3W 1007 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 
05 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE...30 NM SE...0 
NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 28.4N 90.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM NE AND 100 NM SE QUADRANTS. OVER FORECAST WATERS 
SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 27N BETWEEN 87W AND 91W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN INLAND NEAR 31.2N 
86.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL KAREN NEAR 35.5N 
80.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF MEXICO 48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N86W TO 21N97W. W 
OF 96W WITHIN 120 NM N OF FRONT N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.